Cyril’s Prospects Amidst ANC’s 2024 Election Gambit
The political landscape in South Africa is poised for a seismic shift as the 2024 elections loom on the horizon. At the heart of this unfolding drama is Cyril Ramaphosa, the current President of South Africa, and a man who stands to face significant challenges and potential pitfalls if the African National Congress (ANC) secures a 50% victory in the upcoming polls in 2024.
Strategic Maneuvers Within the African National Congress
One cannot overlook the intriguing juxtaposition of strategies at play in this election season. On the one hand, there is a concerted effort within the Union Buildings to ensure that the African National Congress falls short of the crucial 50% threshold. This tactical move raises eyebrows, as it implies that there are elements within the ANC itself who are actively working to prevent the party’s outright victory. Of course, the first thing to ask is, “Why?”
Ramaphosa’s Alleged Departure from ANC Policies
The answer to this question seems to lie in the apparent divergence between African National Congress policies and the actions of Cyril. His alleged disregard for African National Congress policy and resolutions, coupled with the purported implementation of policies associated with the Democratic Alliance (DA), suggests a hidden agenda. It’s as if Cyril and certain powerbrokers are orchestrating a deliberate strategy to weaken the African National Congress’ standing in the eyes of the South African public.
The Coalition Scenario
The theory behind this approach is that if the African National Congress fails to secure more than 50% of the vote, it would necessitate coalition negotiations. Enter the DA and the ANC (presumably referring to another political entity). If these parties were to join forces in a coalition, the power dynamics would significantly shift. Under such a scenario, the African National Congress would retain the presidency, but the DA would secure key positions, such as the deputy presidency, the Finance Ministry, the Public Enterprises Ministry, and other influential roles. The implications are profound, as this coalition could potentially wield substantial control over South Africa’s economy.
Hidden Agendas and Powerbrokers
But who are the architects of this intricate political manoeuvring, and why are they so invested in seeing Cyril potentially fail in his leadership role within the African National Congress? The answer is complex, as it delves into the realm of political power plays, vested interests, and the pursuit of influence over South Africa’s economic and geopolitical trajectory. These include various individuals who donated to his R1 billion campaign that took place in NASREC. They comprise members of the white monopoly capital, such as Nicholas Oppenheimer, Johnny Copelyn, Stavro Nikolau and many others who contributed to his campaign. It is quite possible that without the financial support of these influential figures, his campaign did not quite stand a chance, as he was not the favourite going into it.
Consequences of a Majority African National Congress Win
If the African National Congress indeed succeeds in securing a clear majority in the 2024 elections, it is likely that the individuals (who appear to include local white monopoly capital and global capital) behind this strategy will label Ramaphosa’s leadership as a failure. It’s a high-stakes gamble, and one can anticipate that they will not hesitate to go on the offensive if their plan falters. The arsenal at their disposal includes the revelation of long-suppressed information, such as the CR17 scandal, Phala Phala incident and many other scandals, which could further tarnish Cyril’s image and political standing, which is already in severe tatters as it stands, with the never-ending corruption scandals that Cyril finds himself embroiled in.
The pressure on CR is palpable. His future hinges on the successful execution of a complex and multifaceted strategy, one that must navigate the treacherous waters of South African politics, public opinion, and legal scrutiny. Failure to adhere to the script laid out for him by his handlers and backers could have dire consequences, including potential imprisonment and legal challenges to key decisions, such as those made by the Reserve Bank.
However, it’s important to acknowledge that Ramaphosa is not the sole actor in this political theatre. There are myriad factors at play, including opposition to privatization and other policy directions outlined in this strategy. The initial assumption that privatization would be a straightforward endeavour has been proven incorrect. Not only are there those within the African National Congress who oppose such measures, but there are also external voices challenging this course of action. But at the moment, i
Public scrutiny, in particular, has emerged as a significant hurdle. Ramaphosa and his backers may have anticipated a smoother path, but the reality is far more convoluted. Legal challenges have been mounted, shedding light on the vulnerabilities in their plans and the potential for resistance both within the African National Congress and from non-governmental organizations, which so far appear to be fully on his side.
Furthermore, the role of the judiciary cannot be underestimated. As the plan’s architects attempt to advance their agenda, the judiciary may come under increased scrutiny, but however, this should not be a problem as Ramaphosa has full control of all arms of the state, including the judiciary. Indeed, it does appear that it is plain sailing for Ramaphosa, nothing stands in his way, not the media, not the courts, prosecuting authorities, banks, no one. Because he has captured them all.
In this intricate web of political manoeuvring and power struggles, one thing is certain: the 2024 elections in South Africa will hold profound implications for the future of Ramaphosa and the nation as a whole. Success or failure in this high-stakes game will depend on a delicate balance of political finesse, public opinion, legal acumen, and the ability to navigate a landscape marked by uncertainty and opposition. Whatever the outcome, one thing is for certain, the ANC is history.
